1000 Guineas Day (Newmarket) Betting Tips – Sunday 6th May 2018

Not one, but two days of outstanding racing to look forward to this weekend as Sunday sees the Guineas meeting at Newmarket roll into its second and concluding day. Following a winter of hype and speculation, its time for the horses to do the talking on the track.

It’s the fillies on whom the spotlight shines on day two as the crème de la crème of the three year old milers line up for the 1000 Guineas. Aidan O’Brien has taken the past two editions of this with superstars Minding and Winter, and looks set to send a five strong squadron headed by Happily in pursuit of this year’s prize. Can anyone stop the Ballydoyle juggernaut? Read on for our take on the big one and the six other cracking contests on the card.

1.50 – Qatar Racing Handicap (Class 2), 1m4f

Wolf Country each way at 12/1 with Bet365

The one to carry our cash is the Charlie Appleby runner, Wolf Country. At around this time last season, on good to soft ground over this trip, this son of Dubawi turned a Listed class contest at Saint-Cloud into a procession. He then went on to finish fifth in the Dante, but there was certainly no disgrace in that with Permian, Benbatl, Crystal Ocean and Rekindling the four to finish ahead of him that day. A fourth placed finish over in Dubai in February will likely have blown the cobwebs away and having had another little break since we fancy him to go well from the front.

2.20 – Charm Spirit Dahlia Stakes (Group 2), 1m1f

Wuheida to win at 4/5 with Coral

The day two banker goes in our second race. It would be something of surprise should this one not fall to Charlie Appleby and the boys in blue of Godolphin, as on all known form Wuheida is head and shoulders above her rivals here. Whilst she did only manage to win once last season, that victory did come up at Group 1 level at the Breeders Cup meeting, and close up finishes to the likes of Roly Poly, Hydrangea and Rhododendron mark this daughter of Dubawi out as the one they all have to beat.

Tisbutadream and Billesdon Bess make marginally more appeal than Ger Lyons, Elegant Pose, and the French raider, Golden Legend, from an each way perspective. That’s largely due to being available at significantly bigger prices rather than superior form though. Overall we can’t see past the jolly.

2.55 – longholes.com Handicap (Class 2), 6f

Mr Lupton to win at 7/1 with BetVictor

Charles Hills’ Magical Memory makes his first start in handicap company in around three years here and is a tempting option at an each way price. He is six pounds higher than for that Stewards’ Cup victory back in 2015 but did do it very easily that day. Beaten just two lengths in Group 3 company over this course and distance last time, he is fancied to go well. The likeable grey is six years old now though, and only one so old has won in the past 10 years.

Five year old defending champion Mr Lupton is a better fit from a trends perspective and looks the one to be on. The fact that he hasn’t won since that day last year means he actually gets in off a three pounds lower mark this time around and as such is handicapped to win. Tapped for toe before finishing like a train last time out at Doncaster on what was his first run in 161 days, he can be expected to come on for that and go very close to defending his crown.

3.35 – Qipco 1000 Guineas Stakes (Group 1), 1m

Vitamin each way at 50/1 with Ladbrokes

Happily heads the betting here, and being by Galileo and hailing from the Aidan O’Brien yard, she is one to be very wary of. Whilst she is already twice a Group 1 winner, she rounded off 2017 by being withdrawn from the Fillies’ Mile due to a health issue and subsequently flopping badly when last of 14 when sent off favourite for the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf. It would be no surprise to see her win, but there looks to be enough of a question mark to look elsewhere at the prices.

Soliloquy would make just about the most appeal of those towards the head of the market having landed the Nell Gwyn Stakes at this track in good style last time out. There certainly doesn’t seem to be any good reason why those in behind should reverse the form. On the downside, she was allowed to do her own thing for much of that contest and seems unlikely to be afforded such a luxury here.

In what looks a wide-open race, an each way punt looks to be the way to go. Richard Hannon’s Anna Nerium improved massively to win the free handicap here last time, seeming to take even her trainer by surprise. At around the 16/1 mark she makes the short list. At an even bigger price though the one we like is another of the Hannon runners, Vitamin. This daughter of 2000 Guineas winner Camelot was last sighted winning a 7f Novice event at this track way back in August, looking strong at the line to score by 2 lengths. The horse toiling back in second that day? None other than Soliloquy. With the Appleby runner trading at around the 6/1 mark and Vitamin available at a big looking 50/1, we can’t resist an each way nibble.

4.10 – Havana Gold Maiden Stakes (Class 3), 5f

High Horse to win

The only maiden contest of the meeting up next, with the vast majority of these making their racecourse debut. The one we like from a breeding perspective is the Clive Cox runner, High Horse. By Dark Angel out of a mare, in Lady Alexander, who has already given us the smart sprinters Anthem Alexander and Dandy Man, this one fetched a not inconsiderable 100,000 Guineas at the sales and goes for a trainer who is a dab hand with his speedballs.

4.45 – Tweenhills Pretty Polly Stakes (Listed), 1m2f

Stephensons Rocket each way

For us, potentially one of the most exciting prospects of the week goes here in the shape of the John Gosden runner, La Ti Dar. Dam, Dar Re Mi, was a three-time Group 1 winner, whilst full sister So Mi Dar looked destined for big things when trotting up in the Group 3 Musidora Stakes, only to never quite be the same following an injury. Having missed her juvenile campaign due to being something of a slow developer, Lah Ti Dar rewarded her trainer’s patience when bolting up by six lengths on her career debut at Newbury in April. An imposing specimen, we doubt there will be a better-looking filly in the field and she is fancied to land this.

5.20 – Qipco Supporting British Racing Handicap (Class 3), 1m2f

Istanbul Sultan each way

The two to catch our eye in the finale are Dukhan and Istanbul Sultan. This pair locked horns over the course and distance last time out when finishing second and third respectively behind Old Persian. There was only around three lengths between the pair that day, with Istanbul Sultan doing well to finish as close as he did having raced away from where the main action unfolded. Getting a six pound pull in the weights with Dukhan, it’s the William Haggas runner for us.