Irish Oaks

Last month was the Epsom Oaks and now it’s time for another top class one and a half mile contest for three-year-old fillies. The Group 1 race is one of the Curragh’s most highly prized races and it will help draw a large crowd into the County Kildare venue.

While not quite as lucrative as the Epsom equivalent, there is still a very large purse of €400,000 up for grabs in this Irish Classic. Plenty of prize money over the years has gone to Susan Magnier and Michael Tabor, owners of five of the last 11 winners.

Irish Oaks (Curragh) Preview & Betting Tips – Saturday 15th July 2017

Race Analysis

Something to look out for in this race is how many times a horse has run this season. All but one of the last 10 Irish Oaks winners had made two or three seasonal starts prior to their win here.

Another strong trend is that eight of the winners since 2007 came into the race having won or finished second in their last race. The two exceptions were both last out in the Epsom Oaks, finishing fourth and sixth.

Although the favourites haven’t fared too well in this race, making up three of the last 10 winners, winners do tend to be fairly shortly priced. Eight champions in the last decade set off at 7/1 or less and came from the top four in the betting.

Betting Tips

One more win would put Aidan O’Brien level with Michael Stoute as the all-time leading trainer for this race. Alluringly (14/1, Totesport) is one of his entries this year but on her last two starts she has been way behind the pace of both Enable and Coronet who both feature here. There’s no reason to think she can make up the gap this time so O’Brien’s will need to turn to Rain Goddess (6/1, Betfred) who was second in the Pretty Polly Stakes earlier this month. She kept on well during the Group 1 contest to finish second but wasn’t close to taking victory from Nezwaah. Stepping up another two furlongs is a big ask for her and it’s hard to see her doing anything more than sneaking a place finish.

With a win last time out and three seasonal starts so far, Coronet ticks two big boxes for this race and is well priced at 7/1 with Ladbrokes. John Gosden’s filly did not impress at the Epsom Oaks, only managing a fifth place finish but she returned to form at Ascot three weeks later in the Ribbldesdale Stakes.

Having a recent Group 2 win over a mile and a half strengthens her claim for this race although she will have to find even more if she’s going to give Enable a run for her money. 16 lengths separated the pair at Epsom and while it’s fair to assume the gap will be a lot smaller this time, there’s no real basis for thinking Coronet will get the better of her rival.

With nobody looking able to beat Enable, backing the 4/9 (Betfred) favourite looks to be the only option in this race, even at her skinny price. She’s not been out since her superb win in the Epsom Oaks, John Gosden choosing to give her plenty of rest as he prepares for another Group 1 battle. The bay filly has proven what a formidable horse she can be over 12 furlongs and everything looks set for her to put in another strong showing as she is reunited with the recently recovered Frankie Dettori.